Stears a leading economic analysis and data-driven insights provider, has unveiled its much-anticipated 2024 African Outlook Report, delivering nuanced insights into the continent’s economic landscape. Contrary to broad generalisations, the report sheds light on the diverse growth trajectories across Africa, with East Africa emerging as a regional powerhouse.
In 2024, Africa’s overall growth is forecasted at 4.0%, a notable increase from 3.3% in 2023, positioning it as the second-highest globally, trailing only Asia (4.8%). East Africa takes centre stage in this growth narrative, exhibiting consistently higher growth rates than the rest of the continent. Rwanda, Tanzania, Uganda, and Kenya are identified as key drivers, collectively contributing significantly to the region’s economic resurgence.
“East Africa’s growth is propelled by dynamic sectors such as natural resources, transportation, tourism, and agriculture. Significantly, there is potential for further acceleration due to increased investment from Gulf countries. These developments are shaping East Africa into a model region for economic resilience and diversification,” says Fadekemi Abiru, Head of Insights at Stears. Notably, South Africa, Egypt, and Nigeria, considered economic giants, are poised for growth rates below the regional average, emphasising the importance of recognising and navigating the diverse economic landscapes that exist within the continent.
Stears’ 2024 Outlook (https://apo-opa.co/48yoaJ6) further delves into key African countries, specifically Kenya and Nigeria, projecting persisting economic challenges for both nations. The macroeconomic analysis for Kenya anticipates persistent currency depreciation and inflationary pressures. The 2024 Africa Outlook Report highlights that inflation averaged 7.8% in 2023, with a nuanced forecast ranging between 6% and 7.4% for 2024. This aligns with the Central Bank of Kenya’s (CBK) target range of 5±2.5%, reflecting a global trend targeting enhanced price stability.
